Post-Coronavirus Spain: How Will We Get Ready for Upcoming Virus Waves?
Why has the virus stroke so hard in Spain? Uncivil behavior has made the epidemic worse. Some house owners have tried to go to their summer houses on the coasts, thus moving through several destinations. People go out for walks without facemasks. These are only a few examples of irresponsible doing that has directly contributed to the virus expanse.
When citizens favor personal comfort over the good of the many, the pandemic grows. During the lockdown, people have also been found trying to travel to touristic cities. Despite the best efforts by the authorities, some of them have managed to arrive at their destinations. Impulsive actions like this have contributed to the infection of more people.
The Coronavirus Aftermath
Although it is not possible to know how the situation will evolve, there are some indicators of what comes next. In some cities, like Valencia, companies have resumed their activity with security measures. Employees must wear a facemask, entering/leaving a building staggered, have their temperature checked, etc. These procedures will become mainstream.
Industries related to disinfectants, healthcare items, and cleanliness are in luck due to this outbreak. Multinationals will adapt their stock to join the post-virus paranoia to increase sales on items that were not popular until last Dec. Small stores may lack valuable stock, they play at a disadvantage, though. In the business jungle, only the strong survive a worldwide crisis.
ERTEs and Delayed Payrolls
On the other side, employees whose contracts are paused due to an ERTE face uncertainty in their income. Only 2 out of 10 workers on this situation have received their payroll in April; the rest are delayed to May at best. Therefore, multiple payments that must be caught up eventually as government aids kick in for the applicable companies and households.
Sadly, bad news does not end there. Considering that people are making do with their savings or reduced income, consume will weaken. While we go back to a seemingly normal routine in May, the focus will be on basic goods. Families will prefer to stock rather than purchase fancy stuff, likely. Thus, we will see a shift in the mindset of consumers. Some businesses will prosper as other decay. Thousands of establishments are permanently closed.
Summer 2020 Seems Less Hot
A relevant percentage of GDP income in Spain comes from tourism in summer - around 15%, not the less. Although the outbreak slowly recedes, the aftermath could potentially affect summer businesses. Fear will persist longer. On one side, there will be fewer tourists than in past years in Mediterranean countries (Spain, Italy, Greece, etc.) hard-hit by the virus.
On the other side, fewer businesses will be open this season due to cuts, dismissals, and the overall recession. Both factors feed each other to make the effects worse. But, there is more to consider, such as possible restrictions for travelers, shortage of services, reduction in consumption, etc. Prospects for next summer do not look promising as for now.
Post-Virus Change of Mindset
Fortunately, not every outcome of the pandemic is negative. We were arguing about cessationists in Spain in December 2019 (Catalonian, Basques, etc.). Today, Spain is more united due to the national efforts to contain the SARS-CoV-2 outbreak. Lessons are to be learned from this pandemic and recapped from the scattered data of the 1918 flu pandemic.
Only by learning from the past will we be ready to prevent a similar outbreak again. While countries worldwide struggle against the pandemic, we are yet far to know the total cost in human lives. From now, we will include facemasks, gloves, and hydro alcoholic gel in our backpacks on any trip. May our mistakes teach a lesson to future generations.